Free Prediction Events — Who Are They Really For?

[Tariktan54]

 

Hello everyone,

I'm writing this message to share a personal experience and raise 
some open, honest questions to the community and moderation team.

📊 A Pattern That Keeps Repeating

After reviewing the winner lists from the past several prediction 
events, I've noticed a consistent and concerning pattern:

- The majority of winners are accounts with no meaningful activity 
  history on the platform and no VIP status
- This is not an isolated incident — it has repeated across multiple 
  consecutive months
- The May event was no different

🎯 How This Directly Affected My Ranking

I am a user who genuinely follows these events and participates 
consistently every month.

In the most recent event, I finished 8th place.

When I looked at the accounts ranked above me, the majority were 
profiles that had registered on or very close to the event period, 
with little to no prior platform activity.

Had those accounts been evaluated against any reasonable 
participation criteria, I would have finished 3rd or 4th — not 8th.

This is not speculation. The list is public. The dates are visible.

❓ My Open Questions to the Moderation Team

1. What is the actual purpose of these free prediction events — 
   to reward the active community, or to be open to anyone 
   regardless of history?

2. If open to everyone — why is there no minimum account age 
   or activity threshold for participation?

3. Following the previous discussion on this topic, were the 
   May event winners reviewed? If so, what was the outcome?

4. How do we explain the same pattern repeating month after month, 
   even after moderation acknowledged the issue?

💬 What I'm Asking For

I'm not here to accuse anyone. But watching the same scenario 
play out repeatedly — even after the moderation team acknowledged 
it and promised a review — seriously undermines trust in these events.

If these events are genuinely meant to reward real, active members 
of this community, then please put in place transparent and 
enforceable participation rules that reflect that goal.

Until then, I will keep asking: who are these events actually 
designed for? I hope the answer is: for all of us.

Best regards,
TarikIan54

@NemanjaPi @BratislavK @MladenS

[xavic]

🫡

[BratislavK]

Hello @Tariktan54

I appreciate your concern about this.

I'm not sure if you have a specific event in mind or if you're referring to all free-to-play events with randomly selected winners, but in either case, the winners are selected from all community members.

The rules for rewards are simple, and every winner is carefully checked before being paid out, so there is nothing to worry about. I understand that it can be frustrating not to receive a reward, but there are many eligible users participating in each event, so winning is not easy.

The winners are chosen randomly, and after they are selected, we simply verify whether they are eligible or not. Account age does not matter, as every community member has an equal chance of winning.

Regards,
@BratislavK

[Tariktan54]

On 11.06.2026 at 08:21, BratislavK said:

Merhaba@Tariktan54

Bu konudaki endişenizi anlıyorum.

Belirli bir etkinliği mi kastediyorsunuz yoksa rastgele seçilen kazananlarla tüm ücretsiz etkinlikleri mi kastediyorsunuz bilmiyorum, ancak her iki durumda da kazananlar tüm topluluk üyeleri arasından seçiliyor.

Ödül kuralları basittir ve her kazanan ödeme yapılmadan önce dikkatlice kontrol edilir, bu nedenle endişelenecek bir şey yok. Ödül alamamanın sinir bozucu olabileceğini anlıyorum, ancak her etkinlikte birçok uygun kullanıcı katılıyor, bu nedenle kazanmak kolay değil.

Kazananlar rastgele seçilir ve seçildikten sonra uygun olup olmadıkları doğrulanır. Hesap yaşı önemli değildir, çünkü her topluluk üyesinin kazanma şansı eşittir.

Saygılarımızla,
@BratislavK

The event I am referring to is not a general giveaway, but specifically the Bet ID Prediction Contest. While you claim that "every account has an equal chance," it cannot be a mere coincidence that all the winners have accounts created on the exact same date.

Instead of defending the system by stating it operates randomly, I urge you to check this chronological pattern—specifically, the accounts opened on the very same day—within the winners' list. To protect the rights of genuine and active community members, we expect this list to be manually re-examined.

[waqas666]

Free Prediction Events are contests where users participate for free and make predictions about outcomes, and those with correct or selected predictions receive rewards.
These events are designed for the entire community, giving every user an equal chance to participate. However, since the number of rewards is limited, only a few selected or lucky participants end up winning.

[Tariktan54]

4 minutes ago, waqas666 said:

Ücretsiz Tahmin Etkinlikleri, kullanıcıların ücretsiz olarak katıldığı ve sonuçlar hakkında tahminlerde bulunduğu yarışmalardır; doğru veya seçilmiş tahminlerde bulunanlar ödül kazanır.
Bu etkinlikler tüm topluluk için tasarlanmıştır ve her kullanıcıya eşit katılım şansı verir. Ancak, ödül sayısı sınırlı olduğundan, yalnızca birkaç seçilmiş veya şanslı katılımcı kazanır.

Then how do we explain the fact that most of the winners not only share the exact same registration date but also have the exact same account level? Is this just "luck" too?

[waqas666]

In free prediction events, winners are generally selected randomly or through predefined eligibility filters. If you notice similar registration dates or account levels among winners, it does not necessarily mean the selection is biased.
Many platforms group users based on activity periods, event participation windows, or eligibility batches. As a result, users who joined around the same time or reached similar account levels may naturally appear more often in winner lists.
However, this pattern alone is not proof of manipulation. Without access to the internal selection algorithm and full participant data, it is not possible to conclude anything beyond coincidence and structured eligibility rules.

[Tariktan54]

5 minutes ago, waqas666 said:

Ücretsiz tahmin etkinliklerinde, kazananlar genellikle rastgele veya önceden tanımlanmış uygunluk filtreleri aracılığıyla seçilir. Kazananlar arasında benzer kayıt tarihleri veya hesap seviyeleri fark ederseniz, bu mutlaka seçimin taraflı olduğu anlamına gelmez.
Birçok platform, kullanıcıları etkinlik dönemlerine, etkinlik katılım pencerelerine veya uygunluk gruplarına göre gruplandırır. Sonuç olarak, aynı zamanda katılan veya benzer hesap seviyelerine ulaşan kullanıcılar doğal olarak kazanan listelerinde daha sık görünebilir.
Ancak, bu tek başına manipülasyonun kanıtı değildir. Dahili seçim algoritmasına ve tüm katılımcı verilerine erişim olmadan, tesadüf ve yapılandırılmış uygunluk kurallarının ötesinde herhangi bir sonuca varmak mümkün değildir.

Your explanation about filtering and user grouping sounds professional, but it completely defies logic in this specific case. We are not talking about a broad statistical group; we are talking about a specific list of winners where the majority share the exact same registration date and profile level.

Even with structured eligibility rules, the probability of the majority of winners being from the exact same day-1 accounts is practically zero in any fair system. If your internal algorithm naturally favors newly created, identical, and inactive-looking accounts over long-term, loyal community members, then the algorithm itself is flawed and unfair.

[Zita33]

I didn’t understand 😅

[bigflowerr]

good q

[Tariktan54]

4 hours ago, Zita33 said:

I didn’t understand 😅

There is nothing incomprehensible, my friend