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Posted

i stumbled on the exact 1 goal margin market for mid table bundesliga games a while back, like when friburg would win 1 nil or 2 1 it kept hitting at way better oddds than the standard spreads

Posted

I tripped over a +2 goal diff line for an underdog in a low block derby onec and the payout was almost double what I’d normally see on a regular handicap bet

Posted

i keep going back to win by exactly 1 goal when the fav has a shaky defence but the dog cant score for toffee, got 5.20 odds on a brentford match like that a few weeks ago and it just makes sense if the xg gap is tight but the quality gap is huge

Posted

That’s a tough one since it can vary by league and season! I've found that looking at lower-tier leagues often uncovers some hidden gems, especially when teams are fighting for promotion or relegation.

Posted

I once grabbed a +2 line on a bottom table club purely because the home keeper was out, and they ended up holding it to a 1 nil loss, cashed that bet while everyone else was chasing over 2.5 goals

Posted

I've found that looking at the +1 or -1 goal difference markets can often yield some solid value, especially in tight matchups. It really pays to analyze the teams' past performances though!

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