CS2 Majors: Are you guys blindly fading the public favorites live?

[MarkusEmo]

The CS2 Major starts this weekend, and from my experience, Stake’s live algorithms overreact massively to pistol rounds. If a heavy favorite drops the first pistol round, their live odds tank way harder than they probably should. Are any of you guys specifically waiting for the favorites to drop early rounds just to grab the inflated live odds, or are the momentum swings in CS2 this year too volatile to trust the comebacks?

[luxess]

Live odds after pistol lsos are basically free value now

[thornrel]

i duunno i feel like the overreaction is built in for a reason this year, the economy resets after pistols are so brutal now that a lost pistol can easily chain into a 5 0 deficit before you can buy anything. grabbing live odds there isnt always free money

[Sophirelle891]

G2 lost pistol yesterday and oddds flipped instantly

[Aestave]

Yeh I usually fade Public favorites 

[pyxenora]

i did that last major on vitality after they drropped pistol vs mongolz and it paid out nice

[ladyast]

Last major I grabbed FaZe at like 2.8 after they lost the opening pistol to an underdog and they just reset hard on the next gun round, straight value.

[Nalorzyl0]

Spirit look so sharp on pistol rounds lately that fading them early is just asking to get burned, but against someone like ENCE who choke hard I'm def hunting those inflated live lines after round 1.

[yeHEMO6]

do you guys think this strat works better on bo1s where a single reet round can spiral the odds, or does it hold up in bo3s too where the favourite has time to stabilise?