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Posted

Honestly I stopped being surprised by these upsets years ago once I reealized how often the "stronger" teams just fail to adapt their tactics mid game. It feels more like a coaching gap than a miracle most of the time.

Posted

Nobody on the favourite side expects to deal with a low block executed with actual belief and I think that catches them off balance more than anything. Watching the line movement right before kickoff usually clues you in on these upsets before they even start.

Posted

i dunno, feels like the favorites just didnt show up half the time rather than the underdogs doing something special. i started fading heavy public sides in the knockout rounds and its been way more consistent honestly

Posted

One thing I've started doing is looking at which underdogs have kept a tight defensive shape in the first 20 minutes of their last few games, those are the ones I tust live when the score's still 0 0.

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