BigAdahunse Posted 5 hours ago #1 Posted 5 hours ago Many experienced bettors talk about finding value rather than just picking winners. How do you identify a value bet?
Alex6290 Posted 5 hours ago #2 Posted 5 hours ago They're definitely real, but finding them consistently is the hard part. It takes a ton of patience and research to actually make it work long-term. BigAdahunse 1
semutmoshing Posted 5 hours ago #3 Posted 5 hours ago Value for me is when the odds are higher than what I think the real probability is. I calculate my own percentage and compare it with the bookie’s odds BigAdahunse 1
pemdinufa Posted 5 hours ago #4 Posted 5 hours ago I use closing line value. If my bet is getting shorter odds as kickoff gets closer, usually means I found good value early BigAdahunse 1
ohmylula Posted 5 hours ago #5 Posted 5 hours ago I look for situations where the public is overreacting. Big favorite after a heavy win? I check if the odds are inflated and go the other way.
Bright6060 Posted 5 hours ago #6 Posted 5 hours ago Reality—if you can consistently find odds higher than the true probability. 🎯
BigAdahunse Posted 4 hours ago Author #7 Posted 4 hours ago 1 hour ago, Alex6290 said: They're definitely real, but finding them consistently is the hard part. It takes a ton of patience and research to actually make it work long-term. Long term is the deal... patience is the master key 1 hour ago, semutmoshing said: Value for me is when the odds are higher than what I think the real probability is. I calculate my own percentage and compare it with the bookie’s odds That's the hard work... and definitely it pays off!! 1 hour ago, semutmoshing said: Value for me is when the odds are higher than what I think the real probability is. I calculate my own percentage and compare it with the bookie’s odds Doing the hard work is very important
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