Seoulmate Posted March 27, 2020 #1 Posted March 27, 2020 Can anyone explain why Modbot gives these results below? 2x Target, odds of losing 8 bets in a row: once every 236 bets 20x Target, odds of losing 80 bets in a row: once every 60 bets 200x Target, odds of losing 800 bets in a row: once every 52 bets I can understand how its possible to lose 8 bets in a row once every 236 bets, but how is it possible to lose 80 bets in a row once every 60 bets? This makes no sense to me. Can anyone shed any light on this?
Mashfiqun2018 Posted March 27, 2020 #2 Posted March 27, 2020 3 hours ago, Seoulmate said: 2x Target, odds of losing 8 bets in a row: once every 236 bets 20x Target, odds of losing 80 bets in a row: once every 60 bets 200x Target, odds of losing 800 bets in a row: once every 52 bets Isn't that obvious? The more the payout, the less chance of hitting it and the more consecutive bets you lose. 2x is an easy payout to get while 20x and 200x are rare and sometimes you'll lose more than the amount you could've won on hitting the payout. I don't know how Stake calculates this, but this really seems obvious to me.
Seoulmate Posted March 27, 2020 Author #3 Posted March 27, 2020 well yes its obvious that 2x is easier to hit. But that doesnt address what Im asking. how can you lose 800 bets in a row once every 52 bets. Its impossible. 1 hour ago, Mashfiqun2018 said: Isn't that obvious? The more the payout, the less chance of hitting it and the more consecutive bets you lose. 2x is an easy payout to get while 20x and 200x are rare and sometimes you'll lose more than the amount you could've won on hitting the payout. I don't know how Stake calculates this, but this really seems obvious to me. well yes its obvious that 2x is easier to hit. But that doesnt address what Im asking. Im asking how can you lose 800 bets in a row once every 52 bets. Its impossible.
Mashfiqun2018 Posted March 27, 2020 #4 Posted March 27, 2020 10 minutes ago, Seoulmate said: well yes its obvious that 2x is easier to hit. But that doesnt address what Im asking. Im asking how can you lose 800 bets in a row once every 52 bets. Its impossible. Well if you can get 52 straight wins in a row, why would that be impossible? Hunting for 200x often lead to 800 straight wins. If you can lose 86 bets in dice at 2x, this seems quite easy to do man.
Seoulmate Posted March 27, 2020 Author #5 Posted March 27, 2020 7 hours ago, Mashfiqun2018 said: Well if you can get 52 straight wins in a row, why would that be impossible? Hunting for 200x often lead to 800 straight wins. If you can lose 86 bets in dice at 2x, this seems quite easy to do man. This doesnt address my question: The bot states that you can expect to see a streak of 800 bets below 200x once every 52 bets. It is saying that on average every 52 bets you can expect to see 800 bets below 200x. This is illogical.
lideralex Posted March 27, 2020 #6 Posted March 27, 2020 13 hours ago, Seoulmate said: Can anyone explain why Modbot gives these results below? 2x Target, odds of losing 8 bets in a row: once every 236 bets 20x Target, odds of losing 80 bets in a row: once every 60 bets 200x Target, odds of losing 800 bets in a row: once every 52 bets I can understand how its possible to lose 8 bets in a row once every 236 bets, but how is it possible to lose 80 bets in a row once every 60 bets? This makes no sense to me. Can anyone shed any light on this? I think he's explaining the limbo roll and the red amount you can take in each payout... #CampaignStakeStayInHomePlayingAtStake#
evet Posted March 28, 2020 #7 Posted March 28, 2020 Yeah I agree, it doesn't make any sense. I think the thought is there that the you can hit the 8 losing streaks in higher payouts more often as compared to 2x or lower. But there is something wrong with displaying it like once every 60 bets you can hit 80 losing streak.
Aiza824 Posted March 31, 2020 #8 Posted March 31, 2020 The odds only makes sense when you take its quotient. For example, 1 in 512 odds is 0.1953125%. It doesn't make sense if you are going to base your judgement on those numbers because it is just a mean and will NOT ALMOST ALWAYS happen at all. If you insist on believing it and apply Martingale on it, trust that range on the quotient that runs between 0 and 1.
Seoulmate Posted March 31, 2020 Author #9 Posted March 31, 2020 5 hours ago, Aiza824 said: The odds only makes sense when you take its quotient. For example, 1 in 512 odds is 0.1953125%. It doesn't make sense if you are going to base your judgement on those numbers because it is just a mean and will NOT ALMOST ALWAYS happen at all. If you insist on believing it and apply Martingale on it, trust that range on the quotient that runs between 0 and 1. are you saying the bot is telling lies or misrepresenting the truth?
sahil777 Posted April 5, 2020 #10 Posted April 5, 2020 maybe it means if you got 200x in 52 rolls then there is a chance to get 800 red rolls, it doesnt meant that after every 52 rolls you are going to get 800 reds, so its just a chance that you may get 800 reds if you got 200x hit in ist 52 rolls.
niki014 Posted April 8, 2020 #11 Posted April 8, 2020 it says u can get that losing streak once in 52 rolls whats so hard for understanding ? like lol tho i dont understand why they keep the odds like that why not give it in % :?
Featured Comment
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.