zoken Posted June 24, 2021 #1 Posted June 24, 2021 Does anyone has a source for the consecutive probability of the provably fair system? I loss a <13 dice 78 times in a row. Online calculator is telling me that the probability of that is as good as winning powerball 9 times in a row. Math is telling me its 0.13 ^ 78. the dice seems rigged? https://www.calctool.org/CALC/math/probability/repeat_event Support is telling me the odds are 0.0019%.
undefined Posted June 24, 2021 #2 Posted June 24, 2021 I made a calculation, it simply counts how many times 78 streaks happened, then the number of games divided by it and the result divided by the games count, at the end it is multiplied by 100. This is how i calculated out the chance, but i could be wrong. Streaks of 78: 1 Games played: 61295 Chance: 100.0% Streaks of 78: 2 Games played: 62932 Chance: 50.0% Streaks of 78: 3 Games played: 691549 Chance: 33.333333333333336% Streaks of 78: 4 Games played: 1519258 Chance: 25.0% Streaks of 78: 5 Games played: 3031288 Chance: 20.0% Streaks of 78: 6 Games played: 3349600 Chance: 16.666666666666664% Streaks of 78: 7 Games played: 3417163 Chance: 14.285714285714285% Streaks of 78: 8 Games played: 4454384 Chance: 12.5% Streaks of 78: 9 Games played: 4578488 Chance: 11.11111111111111% Streaks of 78: 10 Games played: 4815045 Chance: 10.0% Streaks of 78: 11 Games played: 5469677 Chance: 9.090909090909092% Streaks of 78: 12 Games played: 5505206 Chance: 8.333333333333334% Streaks of 78: 13 Games played: 5889042 Chance: 7.692307692307692% Streaks of 78: 14 Games played: 6675553 Chance: 7.142857142857142% Streaks of 78: 15 Games played: 6875144 Chance: 6.666666666666667% Streaks of 78: 16 Games played: 7644108 Chance: 6.25% Streaks of 78: 17 Games played: 7817384 Chance: 5.88235294117647% Streaks of 78: 18 Games played: 7999815 Chance: 5.555555555555556% Streaks of 78: 19 Games played: 8034789 Chance: 5.263157894736842% Streaks of 78: 20 Games played: 8444699 Chance: 5.0% Streaks of 78: 21 Games played: 8535752 Chance: 4.761904761904762% Streaks of 78: 22 Games played: 9011559 Chance: 4.545454545454546% Streaks of 78: 23 Games played: 9249657 Chance: 4.3478260869565215% Streaks of 78: 24 Games played: 9439532 Chance: 4.166666666666666% Streaks of 78: 25 Games played: 9910720 Chance: 4.0%
Moderator maverick528 Posted June 24, 2021 Moderator #3 Posted June 24, 2021 10 hours ago, zoken said: Does anyone has a source for the consecutive probability of the provably fair system? I loss a <13 dice 78 times in a row. Online calculator is telling me that the probability of that is as good as winning powerball 9 times in a row. Math is telling me its 0.13 ^ 78. the dice seems rigged? https://www.calctool.org/CALC/math/probability/repeat_event Support is telling me the odds are 0.0019%. Maybe I dont understand you properly, but what I think I understand is that you were betting win chance 13% (roll under 13.00) in dice. If this is the case, then your maths are veeeerrryyyyy wrong. The chance of getting a red (a losing bet) is 87% (100% - 13%). So you must calculate the chance of something with an 87% probability happening 78 times.
fredo386 Posted June 25, 2021 #4 Posted June 25, 2021 i keep triggering (now on purpose) mathematical impossible rip streak and always after i have been hitting. It's just controlled and rinse us on purpose. Then run hot again but it's just with the money that was previously cheated as the rip streak and bullshit hit right when you won back all or before. Then you redepo and hit again ... they keep you in a loop wagering and wagering always chasing the same money you lost at the beginning.
seboafc Posted June 25, 2021 #5 Posted June 25, 2021 Certainly great are the skim lags during which they always busted and the same red, but it's interesting that at the same time someone is winning big big wins, after all it's always the same story every day, it's funny really ... no comment everyone sees it, but ok, we pretend that everything is great that it must be so!
fredo386 Posted June 25, 2021 #6 Posted June 25, 2021 Each player has its own RTP +/- etc. A player hitting 100k doesn't make you lose more even though with what i saw so far with stake... But overall in the industry each provider and casinos have a profile of you and link you to your past results. Everything is linked and tracked. So a person that hit 100k will have lost it before/after or both but you wont pay for it as that player is hitting his RTP pool. That's how games like roulette will land your fav numbers when you sit. I been high rollin max bet roulette and when i would be "nuked" it would always show me the last numbers being a streak of my numbers or land my 2-5 (2 fav numbers id shove) land in my face. When i was up tens of thousands it was so stupid i'd be on twitch and tell my friend i bet him 10$ if i go a casino without account and open a roulette it will land 2 in my face .. 1 minute later i had a screen shot. Lol. The fact they keep record of all stats is a thing but they are not supposed to know our balance and bet sizes.... but they 100% do as they use it to give or rip. When up tons i could sit roulette and bet my row (3x) 20+ and lose every bet so forget even hitting a single number. BUT if i was down tens of thousands... then one deposit of the max bet put on my 2 and... boom! Like magic. Casinos would go crazy saying its impossible but the previous 100 bets rip on 3x were just fine lol. That knowledge helped me alot recover left and right from scratch which was making them go crazy as they expect players to depo big and shove big thinking they need one big hit while since the providers track our result and follow rtp... the more you bet the more it rips. You have to go the other way around go smaller then it hits. Don't matter if its small it will keep running hot/good for as long as you didnt win back your RTP. On top the bigger the hit to recover the bigger the following rip streaks. Casinos want us to not be able to strike luck with a small amount one shot. Unless you rip 10k in 5 mins to try hit 3.6k 100$ bet one time... (very tempting right) these 1 shot max bet number will never land. They rip us when we bet too much and hit us when we bet small and keep us wagering up and down and up and down controllign our results and make sure nothing unusual happens. Last fall i pushed my shit to 150-200k profits over 3 months and trust me i get scammed.. cheated.. stolen balances while playing ... banned from groups and independant casinos even ifi had not hit them big cauz they had been warned of me and had decided i was surely a team of hacker cauz "its impossible". Then an entire top group and 2 dozen independant big casinos say you that the same week while all accounts are frozen for "investigation" it says everything one need to know. We are not supposed to win and if we do it's impossible and we're hackers and cheaters. p.s.: when i say "win" i talk about tangible profits over a longer period of time. You can always hit but it will be from your past losses or they'll cheat it out of you after. You know all the people that complain they rip like mad after huge wins... What are the odds people get not only a super rare big win but also just as rare rip streak just after? It's in the millions+ and more than once? Then add the factor it happens to all.. there is no maths to explain it.
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