Ive been cleaning up on the +0.75 home handicap in the Championship lately, feels like the mid table grinders always nick a narrow win or at worst a push when priced around evens. Had it hit nicely on Millwall last matchday, the odds seem to lag behind their scrappy home form for some reason.
That mental shift is huge, especially in tournaments where one bad call against a tight UTG open just torches 30 big blinds for no reason. Patience really is the edge.
If you are betting on this, ignore the stats and track which journalists from smaller voting nations are posting their ballots early on social media, they usually leak the trend weeks before the ceremony.
Poker all the way man but I get why baccarat pulls people in when you just want the banker streak to go 8 hands deep and cash out fast. I been grinding those low stakes poker games on Stake and hittng a straight on the river against some dude who overbets every flop is just pure magic lol.
Honestly I tried it once and I was actually hoping I’d lose the bet the entire match, couldn’t even enjoy the money when it hit. Did you ever find a way to make that feel less wrong or do you just avoid it now?