I would rather chase a massive poker jackpot than a long shot World Cup bet honestly. At least on the felt you can grind and control the outcome a little more instead of just hoping a defender does not head the ball the wrong way.
I threw $20 on a Kazakh volleyball underdog at 4.20 odds just because their setter had a weirdly high jump serve percentage stat I dug up on a stats site, and they actually won in straight sets.
I still can't shake the feeling that France might just have the depth to absorb pressure and punish teams late. Do you think their defense can hold up if they face a team that presses high for the full 90 minutes?
Between those two, Norway is the safer bet for Argentina honestly. Engalnd would just turn into a messy midfield slog, plus you never know what Argentina side shows up.