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incognto

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  25. Money
    incognto reacted to GuilhermeSa in [28 Proofs] Twitter giveaways are not based on luck   
    [Counter of frequently winning users: 28]
    [Total sum of giveaways won by 28 people: 136]
    Today I want to prove to you that Stake giveaways on Twitter should not be taken seriously when they inform you that people are chosen at random, implying that we all have equal chances, but in reality it is not quite like that. There are people who are privileged for reasons we don't know.
     **I'm updating with more information about other frequent winners in the comments of this topic.
     
     Many of us know how frustrating it is to stay on Stake's Twitter, interacting and always participating in the "giveaways" they do and the overwhelming majority have NEVER been drawn.
    Of course, there are thousands of people participating in the draws, some tweets with 3, 4 and even 5 thousand responses. There are a lot of people and of course not everyone will win.
     Let's be realistic, our chances are low, but still knowing that it can happen that a person wins once, even twice.  It's acceptable if we do the math.
     However, many of us who follow Stake's Twitter, as well as the announcement of the winners of these draws who are informed that the choice is RANDOM, often see winners who have already won several other times.  This is a bit strange, since there are many people participating and some people even win several times in a short period of time, but how is this possible?

     Let's start with someone I've already mentioned here on the forum before.  He's a stake streamer, 'Diegus Money Maker'.
     Diegus "won" 7 Stake draws in the last 13 months, 6 of them in the last 8 months.  The last 4 draws he "won" were in the last 60 days.  Yes, he "won" 4 times in two months.  (Prints below)
     I opened all the tweets he won, got the number of participants, and got the percentage chance he had of winning each one.  After doing this with the 7 draws, I had these percentages below.

     
     Here are prints of all the draws he would have "won".
     







    Now you might think, "Ah, but that's just a big coincidence. If there's a trillion-fold chance of him achieving this, then it could happen." However, what if I told you that there are other, MANY other people as lucky as Diegus or even more than him?
     I decided to ONLY analyze the last 6 draw results released by Stake. I confess that I didn't think I would find other cases, I thought it would be a waste of time, but I was wrong.
     I FOUND 6 WEIRD and absurd CASES as much as Diegus's!
     In the first one, @/darkmoon11111 won 5 times recently, 4 of them in 45 days.





     
    In the second @/lucas1111x also won 7 times, and in the last 8 months he won 6 times.







     
    Third we have @/maitaibrowneye who has won 4 times in the last 3 and a half months.




     
    Fourth person is @/naoan0405 who won 6 times in 13 months.






     
    Fifth is @/mnhat42 who has won 6 times in the last 12 months.






     
    Lastly we have @/plate15 who won 3 times in 2 and a half months.



     
    These were JUST the last 6 results I analyzed, imagine how many more cases of EXTREMELY lucky people I wouldn't find?
     
     Do you really think this is pure luck? I am not!
    Just one more comment. Of course there are people who win, but the point is that strangely many people win multiple times, some even more than once in a day and this is frustrating for the rest of the community. And the fact that there is no transparency on social media tarnishes the brand's image and opens up gaps for these doubts to fall within the betting site.
     
    Direct links to comments in this thread with other "random" winners:
    +3 https://stakecommunity.com/topic/87157-10-clues-twitter-giveaways-are-not-based-on-luck/?do=findComment&comment=1932068
     
    +4 https://stakecommunity.com/topic/87157-10-clues-twitter-giveaways-are-not-based-on-luck/?do=findComment&comment=1932679
     
    +1 https://stakecommunity.com/topic/87157-14-proofs-twitter-giveaways-are-not-based-on-luck/?do=findComment&comment=1933520
     
    +1 https://stakecommunity.com/topic/87157-15-proofs-twitter-giveaways-are-not-based-on-luck/?do=findComment&comment=1940530
     
    +6 https://stakecommunity.com/topic/87157-16-proofs-twitter-giveaways-are-not-based-on-luck/?do=findComment&comment=1942350
     
    +6 https://stakecommunity.com/topic/87157-22-proofs-twitter-giveaways-are-not-based-on-luck/?do=findComment&comment=1950288
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