[28 Proofs] Twitter giveaways are not based on luck

[GuilhermeSa]

[Counter of frequently winning users: 28]

[Total sum of giveaways won by 28 people: 136]

Today I want to prove to you that Stake giveaways on Twitter should not be taken seriously when they inform you that people are chosen at random, implying that we all have equal chances, but in reality it is not quite like that. There are people who are privileged for reasons we don't know.

 **I'm updating with more information about other frequent winners in the comments of this topic.

 

 Many of us know how frustrating it is to stay on Stake's Twitter, interacting and always participating in the "giveaways" they do and the overwhelming majority have NEVER been drawn.

Of course, there are thousands of people participating in the draws, some tweets with 3, 4 and even 5 thousand responses. There are a lot of people and of course not everyone will win.

 Let's be realistic, our chances are low, but still knowing that it can happen that a person wins once, even twice.  It's acceptable if we do the math.

 However, many of us who follow Stake's Twitter, as well as the announcement of the winners of these draws who are informed that the choice is RANDOM, often see winners who have already won several other times.  This is a bit strange, since there are many people participating and some people even win several times in a short period of time, but how is this possible?

 Let's start with someone I've already mentioned here on the forum before.  He's a stake streamer, 'Diegus Money Maker'.

 Diegus "won" 7 Stake draws in the last 13 months, 6 of them in the last 8 months.  The last 4 draws he "won" were in the last 60 days.  Yes, he "won" 4 times in two months.  (Prints below)

 I opened all the tweets he won, got the number of participants, and got the percentage chance he had of winning each one.  After doing this with the 7 draws, I had these percentages below.

 

 Here are prints of all the draws he would have "won".

 

Now you might think, "Ah, but that's just a big coincidence. If there's a trillion-fold chance of him achieving this, then it could happen." However, what if I told you that there are other, MANY other people as lucky as Diegus or even more than him?

 I decided to ONLY analyze the last 6 draw results released by Stake. I confess that I didn't think I would find other cases, I thought it would be a waste of time, but I was wrong.

 I FOUND 6 WEIRD and absurd CASES as much as Diegus's!

 In the first one, @/darkmoon11111 won 5 times recently, 4 of them in 45 days.

 

In the second @/lucas1111x also won 7 times, and in the last 8 months he won 6 times.

 

Third we have @/maitaibrowneye who has won 4 times in the last 3 and a half months.

 

Fourth person is @/naoan0405 who won 6 times in 13 months.

 

Fifth is @/mnhat42 who has won 6 times in the last 12 months.

 

Lastly we have @/plate15 who won 3 times in 2 and a half months.

 

These were JUST the last 6 results I analyzed, imagine how many more cases of EXTREMELY lucky people I wouldn't find?

 

 Do you really think this is pure luck? I am not!

Just one more comment. Of course there are people who win, but the point is that strangely many people win multiple times, some even more than once in a day and this is frustrating for the rest of the community. And the fact that there is no transparency on social media tarnishes the brand's image and opens up gaps for these doubts to fall within the betting site.

 

Direct links to comments in this thread with other "random" winners:

+3 https://stakecommunity.com/topic/87157-10-clues-twitter-giveaways-are-not-based-on-luck/?do=findComment&comment=1932068

 

+4 https://stakecommunity.com/topic/87157-10-clues-twitter-giveaways-are-not-based-on-luck/?do=findComment&comment=1932679

 

+1 https://stakecommunity.com/topic/87157-14-proofs-twitter-giveaways-are-not-based-on-luck/?do=findComment&comment=1933520

 

+1 https://stakecommunity.com/topic/87157-15-proofs-twitter-giveaways-are-not-based-on-luck/?do=findComment&comment=1940530

 

+6 https://stakecommunity.com/topic/87157-16-proofs-twitter-giveaways-are-not-based-on-luck/?do=findComment&comment=1942350

 

+6 https://stakecommunity.com/topic/87157-22-proofs-twitter-giveaways-are-not-based-on-luck/?do=findComment&comment=1950288

Edited February 19, 2024 by GuilhermeSa
more proofs added.

[natew478]

Wow...lot of work here...quite impressive.  How anyone can look at this and not question some things is beyond me.  The usernames ending in 1111,111x, and 2222....nah nothing to see here

[XeroF]

Everyone with a little brain activity understands Twitter giveaways are rigged.. They let a few new persons win each time to have people saying ive won once! However I dont think its "stake" that rigs them, its just the person handling the Twitter account, that person choose his/her friends first then spread out the remaining wins. 

If a site dont show how they pic winners they are rigging it. It counts on all sites, its just as simple as that. There is absolutly 0 (ZERO) reason for not showing how they drawn the winners otherwise. But again my personal opinion is that this is not Stake that is rigging them more the person that are twitter responsible  

Edited February 6, 2024 by XeroF

[QuiescenceForum]

Sad to hear that

 

[BigBTC]

bro this is like really really shitty hope eddie sees this but i think he is just gonna ignore fucked  up man shit 

 

next time there is a giveaway i am goona predict who is goona win  and play an UNO reverse card  fuck it 

 

@diegus2222
@darkmoon11111
@lucas1111x
@maitaibrowneye
@naoan0405
@mnhat42
@plate15

 

regular winner 

Edited February 6, 2024 by BigBTC

[GuilhermeSa]

1 hour ago, XeroF said:

Everyone with a little brain activity understands Twitter giveaways are rigged.. They let a few new persons win each time to have people saying ive won once! However I dont think its "stake" that rigs them, its just the person handling the Twitter account, that person choose his/her friends first then spread out the remaining wins. 

If a site dont show how they pic winners they are rigging it. It counts on all sites, its just as simple as that. There is absolutly 0 (ZERO) reason for not showing how they drawn the winners otherwise. But again my personal opinion is that this is not Stake that is rigging them more the person that are twitter responsible  

I also think that he is actually the person responsible for choosing, but unfortunately if he is employed by Stake, she is responsible for that. There is nowhere to run, in the end Stake is responsible for not monitoring.

[luanjko2]

Its veryyy sad

[RoshMaxWin69]

Good research. And this shouldn't surprise anyone. Everything Stake is doing (and has been doing since early last year) is designed to either A.) Sign up new accounts or B.) Drain core Plat I and up players. The company literally spends hundreds of millions on streamers and who knows how much on Kick. Bonuses are worse. Games have nonexistent RTPs. Giveaways are rigged. VIP hosts don't give loss rebates. The writing is on the wall.

[Titanae]

You're wasting your time for nothing. If you want to play, make a deposit. Don't rely on these giveaways, they're just marketing.

[GuilhermeSa]

It's bizarre how EVERY draw has at least one person who wins frequently. I analyzed the results of the RANDOM winners announced 8 hours ago and THREE OF THEM together have already won 15 draws.

- @/Dipesh_Uraon has won 7 times in 13 months

 

- @/0113sksk has won 5 in 13 months.  

 

There is a third also @/OvidiuNitu1 who won 3 times in 13 months.

 

Out of 5 RANDOM winners, 3 have won together, in total, 15 draws to date. Yes, it's a draw based on luck, trust it.

Edited February 6, 2024 by GuilhermeSa

[midtownsaves]

Respect the investigation but anyone with a brain can see there’s nothing ‘random’ about the giveaways.

[Pamela0522]

Twitter admin is Diegus brother. He always select Diegus when there is no more rice in the house. 

[matidv4]

It is obv it is rigged, same as forum giveaways if there is moderator on picked page he will allways get tip instead of random post from page

 

However there is mistake in calculations of propability. Propability you calculated is for winning 7 giveaways in a row while participating just in 7. To calculate real propability you need to count all giveaways they participated

[Jamil77]

I have naver win in this game lol

 

At this time 200$ is Nothing for me 😅

 

Bast of luck 👻

[GotSeven]

I don’t know what to say. 
I won $20 at the very beginning of the twitter giveaways

then I won $200 

And like 2 weeks ago won 2k 

all was ripped anyway. 

[GuilhermeSa]

1 hour ago, matidv4 said:

It is obv it is rigged, same as forum giveaways if there is moderator on picked page he will allways get tip instead of random post from page

 

However there is mistake in calculations of propability. Propability you calculated is for winning 7 giveaways in a row while participating just in 7. To calculate real propability you need to count all giveaways they participated

I put together the post in the middle of the night in the middle of my sleep, I certainly made a mistake in my calculations.

[FL3CHA2000]

I won 2 times so i am waiting the next one 😍

[dawid-m]

10 hours ago, GuilhermeSa said:

[Counter of frequently winning users: 10]

[Total sum of giveaways won by 10 people: 53]

Today I want to prove to you that Stake giveaways on Twitter should not be taken seriously when they inform you that people are chosen at random, implying that we all have equal chances, but in reality it is not quite like that. There are people who are privileged for reasons we don't know.

 **I'm updating with more information about other frequent winners in the comments of this topic.

 Many of us know how frustrating it is to stay on Stake's Twitter, interacting and always participating in the "giveaways" they do and the overwhelming majority have NEVER been drawn.

Of course, there are thousands of people participating in the draws, some tweets with 3, 4 and even 5 thousand responses. There are a lot of people and of course not everyone will win.

 Let's be realistic, our chances are low, but still knowing that it can happen that a person wins once, even twice.  It's acceptable if we do the math.

 However, many of us who follow Stake's Twitter, as well as the announcement of the winners of these draws who are informed that the choice is RANDOM, often see winners who have already won several other times.  This is a bit strange, since there are many people participating and some people even win several times in a short period of time, but how is this possible?

 Let's start with someone I've already mentioned here on the forum before.  He's a stake streamer, 'Diegus Money Maker'.

 Diegus "won" 7 Stake draws in the last 13 months, 6 of them in the last 8 months.  The last 4 draws he "won" were in the last 60 days.  Yes, he "won" 4 times in two months.  (Prints below)

 I opened all the tweets he won, got the number of participants, and got the percentage chance he had of winning each one.  After doing this with the 7 draws, I had these percentages below.

 

 Here are prints of all the draws he would have "won".

 

Now you might think, "Ah, but that's just a big coincidence. If there's a trillion-fold chance of him achieving this, then it could happen." However, what if I told you that there are other, MANY other people as lucky as Diegus or even more than him?

 I decided to ONLY analyze the last 6 draw results released by Stake. I confess that I didn't think I would find other cases, I thought it would be a waste of time, but I was wrong.

 I FOUND 6 WEIRD and absurd CASES as much as Diegus's!

 In the first one, @/darkmoon11111 won 5 times recently, 4 of them in 45 days.

 

In the second @/lucas1111x also won 7 times, and in the last 8 months he won 6 times.

 

Third we have @/maitaibrowneye who has won 4 times in the last 3 and a half months.

 

Fourth person is @/naoan0405 who won 6 times in 13 months.

 

Fifth is @/mnhat42 who has won 6 times in the last 12 months.

 

Lastly we have @/plate15 who won 3 times in 2 and a half months.

 

These were JUST the last 6 results I analyzed, imagine how many more cases of EXTREMELY lucky people I wouldn't find?

 

 Do you really think this is pure luck? I am not!

Just one more comment. Of course there are people who win, but the point is that strangely many people win multiple times, some even more than once in a day and this is frustrating for the rest of the community. And the fact that there is no transparency on social media tarnishes the brand's image and opens up gaps for these doubts to fall within the betting site.

 

 

Finally someone had the time and nervs to analyze this crap... I was a long time ago sure it's rigged ( have seen some names very often too...) , but now it's proofed. Stake goes straight downhill.... 

[John Snow]

Thats why I dont even participate in those giveaways

[sriatun]

sad

[rotigoreng]

that's his own person. we are only tools for promotion.

[GuilhermeSa]

5 hours ago, diegus2222 said:

ENORME pesquisa aqui, cara muito interessante! Obrigado por dedicar seu tempo nisso, estou muito surpreso também em receber prêmios desses brindes, mas não acho que sejam fraudados, acho que pode ser sobre os seguidores no Twitter, mas quem sabe...

Participo destes sorteios como qualquer outro staker, na esperança de ter uma oportunidade de ganhar e, ocasionalmente, a sorte está do meu lado... o que posso dizer? eu sou sortudo, querido!!! 😉

De qualquer forma, espero que você ganhe muito em sua próxima sessão no Stake! Boa sorte! 

 

For you who are on the other side of this story, it really isn't strange to me that you thought it was normal, that you're just a lucky guy. It turns out that for a large part of the community it is not.

 

Mathematically, it is not normal for there to be SO MANY repeat winners as shown in this topic in draws that take place with the participation of 3 to 5 thousand people. Not even if there was just one frequent winner, imagine 10.

 

Remembering that this is just a small, very small analysis of 7 draw results.

[ikilic]

somehow that does not surprise me anymore

[rayanchik77]

 

the only thing I'm waiting for after this post is answers from Diegus and darkmoon1111 XD

[lay666]

Not fair