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from My thoughts on 98%


maverick528

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  • Moderator
Posted

I see that lots of ppl use 98% win chance mostly as a wager strat, or to search specific numbers for some dice hunt.

 

I dont like it as a wagering strat, because if you roll it for some time, it is a 100% sure thing that you will lose money.

 

Because the math facts are=

You are betting on 98% win chance, and that means that on average you will lose once every 50 rolls.

On the other hand, every time you win you get your money back plus 1% profit (rounding down the true profit of 1.02 %).

 

So, to explain it on a more clear way, if you bet with a fixed bet size =

You lose once every 50 rolls (on average).

BUT just to recover one losing bet, you need 100 winning rolls with no reds (because you win 1% every time).

 

Posted

I agree with u and atm i prefer limbo low to wager, but dice is faster and if ur lucky to raise ur bet size and have a good streak it’s good 😌 

  • Moderator
Posted
5 hours ago, williamshennie9 said:

Does that mean the house edge on this payout is 2%?

there is a 1% chance of loosing and 1% house edge.

when you set the multiplier to 1.01X, you can see that the win chance is 98%, and that means a 2% chance to loose, 2 percent means 1 red in 50.

If house edge did not exist, the win chance would be 99%, you would have 1 chance in 100 to lose and you would get exactly  1.01X multiplier on win.

Posted

Yup, the lower the variance and higher the number of bets the less of a chance you have at winning.  So auto betting 1.01x will give you basically a 0% chance at winning.  

They might as well just offer 0.99x with 100% chance of win.

 

 

 

  • 4 weeks later...
Posted
On 3/4/2021 at 10:58 PM, Ghostnipple said:

yeah you are right, i never understood why players bet at 98%

So, is it better to wager on 2x (or something like this)? Sometimes it even holds the green profit.

  • Moderator
Posted
2 hours ago, Ghostnipple said:

take your choice, win chance is pretty much fantasy at a daily player level

Stake Target Frequency Chart.GIF

7200 rolls is not enough to make a good statistical analysis, you need much bigger numbers.

 

Posted

Hi Mavs so what is the best strategy for wagering? cause sometimes is used this specially if my progress is approaching near to the next level.

for Dice i normally used 1.25x and if you are good in math you will have a profit in here but if you're greedy you will busted right away same with me i busted $5000 today.

  • 3 months later...
Posted

Personally i use a certain method :

Per example if you wagger with 1$, just before the wagger time put 0.50$ with a 1.04 multiplier, u get 0.02$ per roll.

it gaves you money to wagger, if u lose you have to multiply by 2 or 4 to get back what you lose without losing the rest you won.

It's not working everytime, but sometimes when i have just 0.50$ i use 0.10$ x1.05 and i go up to 1$ and wagger with this dollar.

  • 2 weeks later...
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