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AO predictions by me.


Kituna

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Posted

Hi. This is Kitu from stake. I'll try to predict some winners in Australian Open matches. It's very tough to predict the outcome of a new season first  matches so i am counting on many surprises. I am basing on statistics and my general knowledge about tennis. Since AO is played at night in my time zone it's only way for me to gather info.

Let's say i am starting with 10 coins and betting only with 1 at a time.

Norrie Cameron-Korda Sebastian Bet:2 Odds:2.46

Benjamin Bonzi-Peter Gojowczyk Bet:2 Odds:3.05

Oscar Otte-Chun Hsin Tseng Bet:2 Odds:3.15

I am a little bit worried about Tseng, i think long distance can be challenge for him but outcome like 0:3 or 1:3 for him is still possible i think.

Feel free to comment!

Posted

How do you think Djokovic being replaced by a lucky loser will affect the upper part of the table? It should make it easier for Nadal to reach the final if he can get past Zverev, but I can't see any contender for the semi-final on Djoko's quarter of the table. Berretini? Garin? Monfils? 

Posted
35 minutes ago, Naull said:

How do you think Djokovic being replaced by a lucky loser will affect the upper part of the table? It should make it easier for Nadal to reach the final if he can get past Zverev, but I can't see any contender for the semi-final on Djoko's quarter of the table. Berretini? Garin? Monfils? 

I will not tell you nothing that is pretty obvious. Medviediev is of course top pick for winning. Even that i am fan of Nadal i don't think he can stand a chance on a hard surface against Russian. Maybe Rublov and Zverev can do something? It's possible.  I would say that Isner can do something but seeing his last stats opened my eyes that he can't do nothing. Maybe some other big serving guys? Hurkacz for example? I hope so. About 3 examples of yours i don't think any of them is capable to play in the final, maybe Berettini but i would say the best he can do is semifinal.

Norrie Cameron-Korda Sebastian Bet:2 Odds:2.46 🐱

 

Benjamin Bonzi-Peter Gojowczyk Bet:2 Odds:3.05 😾

 

Oscar Otte-Chun Hsin Tseng Bet:2 Odds:3.15 😾 

Bankroll after first day: 10-3+2.46=9.46

Lot of outsiders won today as expected but sadly only one of those three. 

Day 2

Bankroll:9.46

Kohlschreiber, Philipp-Cecchinato, Marco Bet:2 Odds:2.65

O’Connell, Christopher-Gaston, Hugo Bet:2 Odds:2.01

van de Zandschulp, Botic-Struff, Jan-Lennard Bet:2 Odds:2.39

Posted

Very bad second day. All 3 matches lost. I thought about betting on Gasquet but odds higher than 4 on them scared mi off.

😾😾😾

Day 3.

Bankroll:6.46

Albot Radu-Vukic Aleksandar Bet:1 Odds:2.65

Mcdonald Mackenzie-Karatsev Aslan Set handicap -1.5 Bet:2 Odds:1.96

Sorribes Tormo Sara-Kostyuk Marta Bet:1 Odds:2.43

I think this can be a day with at least two correct picks. Best hopes for the first one.

Posted

As i expected it was quite good night, easy win for Albot but big dissapointment from Sorribes-Tormo. She started match with 3:0 and 40:30 then lost the set and match 0:2...

Albot Radu-Vukic Aleksandar Bet:1 Odds:2.65 🐱

Mcdonald Mackenzie-Karatsev Aslan Set handicap -1.5 Bet:2 Odds:1.96🐱

Sorribes Tormo Sara-Kostyuk Marta Bet:1 Odds:2.43😾 

Bankroll:8.07

Posted

Day 4

Bankroll 8.07

1. Molcan Alex-Andujar Pablo Bet:2 Odds:2.34

2. Combo: Majchrzak Kamil-de Minaur Alex Set Handicap +2.5 Bet: 1 Odds 1.6 +

Murray Andy-Daniel Taro Bet: 1 Odds 1.25 +

Kyrgios Nick-Miedviediew Danil Bet:2 Odds:1.15

Total: 2.3

3. Gasquet Richard-van de Zandschulp Botic Over 38.5 games Odds: 2.02

Posted
20 hours ago, Kituna said:

Day 4

Bankroll 8.07

1. Molcan Alex-Andujar Pablo Bet:2 Odds:2.34 🐱

2. Combo: Majchrzak Kamil-de Minaur Alex Set Handicap +2.5 Bet: 1 Odds 1.6 +

Murray Andy-Daniel Taro Bet: 1 Odds 1.25 +

Kyrgios Nick-Miedviediew Danil Bet:2 Odds:1.15

Total: 2.3😾

3. Gasquet Richard-van de Zandschulp Botic Over 38.5 games Odds: 2.02 🙊✔️ Voided

1 win, one loss, one voided. Don't know what happened with Gasquet there after nice start. 

Bankroll: 8.41

Posted

Day 5

Bankroll: 8.41

Monfils Gael-Garin Christian Set Handicap +2.5 Bet:2 Odds:2.22

Alcaraz Garfia Carlos-Berettini Mateo Bet:2 Odds:2.44

Chaczanow Kare -Nadal Rafael Exact score 0:3 Odds:2.16

Big odds for Berettini but i think it's good value on him.

Posted
18 hours ago, Kituna said:

Day 5

Bankroll: 8.41

Monfils Gael-Garin Christian Set Handicap +2.5 Bet:2 Odds:2.22 😾

Alcaraz Garfia Carlos-Berettini Mateo Bet:2 Odds:2.44 🐱

Chaczanow Kare -Nadal Rafael Exact score 0:3 Odds:2.16 😾

Big odds for Berettini but i think it's good value on him.

All of the bets had big chances to win, sadly only my favorite one won. Garin had a big chance in first set to win it as he led in tb by 4-1 but suddenly all went the other way and Monfils won remaining 6 points. Rafa led by 2:0 in sets, lost a serve in 3rd set, he had many break points but never got a chance to break. 

Bankroll: 7.45

Posted

Day 6

Bankroll: 7.45

Bautista-Agut, Roberto-Taylor Fritz Bet:2 Odds:2.03

O’Connell, Christopher-Cressy Maxime Bet:1 Odds:2.5

Evans Daniel-Auger-Aliassime, Felix Bet:1 Odds:2.01

 

Posted
18 hours ago, Kituna said:

Day 6

Bankroll: 7.45

Bautista-Agut, Roberto-Taylor Fritz Bet:2 Odds:2.03🐱

O’Connell, Christopher-Cressy Maxime Bet:1 Odds:2.5😾

Evans Daniel-Auger-Aliassime, Felix Bet:1 Odds:2.01😾

 

I am giving up. I bet on Rublov today live, lost a lot of money and i think i am fed up with this tournament and tennis. 😾

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