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Someone explain to me in what world is this game 1% house edge??


gideonsz

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Posted

PLEASE explain this to me.

4.6k balls dropped.  High 15.

Same bet throughout the graph, I haven't changed the bet. 0.00008192 LTC

Wager isn't even x10 the amount lost. PLEASE EXPLAIN TO ME WHERE IS THE 1% HOUSE EDGE ON THIS GAME.

 

this has been going on for the last 20k rolls btw. cant get x10 the wager.

plinko.png

Posted

Plinko (especially as you go more rows) is a high variance game, in which (unfortunately) 4,5k bets aren't that much really. You can statistically speaking expect 1 620er ball in 32k bets (0.5^15), which then would be already closer to the 1% house edge.

The advertised 1% are really pretty much meaningless, unless you are prepared to do hundreds of thousand (or better millions) of bets. What's getting you here is not the house edge, it's the variance.

Posted

That is just a small sample of more than million bets ive already placed on this game, and x620 is expected once every ~16k rolls, Left side every 32k, and right side every 32k. the graph you see is a small sample of my streak, and it came after im already 60k rolls without x620. for the past 20k rolls i couldnt wager x10 the amount ive put in. you expect x83 and x27 to come up more often when you have a big streak on x620, but they also literally come 50% and sometime s80% (!!!) less than the advertised average, for tens of thousands of rolls.

Posted

1000x hits in every 33,333 bets in Plinko. In Dice, I have encountered 5 lose streaks at 1.01x multiplier which should be hitting at a rate of 99.90% everytime. Sorry I cant explain it well but just try to understand what I mean.

Posted
4 hours ago, gideonsz said:

PLEASE explain this to me.

4.6k balls dropped.  High 15.

Same bet throughout the graph, I haven't changed the bet. 0.00008192 LTC

Wager isn't even x10 the amount lost. PLEASE EXPLAIN TO ME WHERE IS THE 1% HOUSE EDGE ON THIS GAME.

 

this has been going on for the last 20k rolls btw. cant get x10 the wager.

plinko.png

It's honestly not unusual sorry. Some people go on hot streaks or cold streaks. Reset seed, move on, bet smaller for a while, mix it up or ultimately just stop gambling if it is very frustrating.

Posted

im aware its not unusual, in fact it happens 99.9% of the time, thats why im asking why is this game advertised as 1% house edge. ive played it long enough to say the house edge is in fact 20% on avrg.

Posted

An updated graph. 26k rolls of the same bet, flat betting 0.00008192 LTC.

Even that there is a x620 hit, the wager is still not x20 the amount lost.

WHERE ARE THE x83 AND x27?? They only show up at an avrg rate for THIRD of the graph. ONLY 1/3 OF THE GRAPH. FOR 26K ROLLS.

 

Never mind that i haven't lost much on it now. im literally not uping my bet because i want to see what is the real house edge of this game. im going to keep updating until all the wise guys here admit this game is not 1% house edge.

plinko.png

 

And the most important thing  - im down x1590 my initial bet in 26k rolls. that means i had to have over 250% luck on x620 just to break even. GET IT?  not 100% luck, not 150%, but over 250% luck on the highest multi just to break even.

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