Burnitdafrog Posted July 13, 2023 #1 Posted July 13, 2023 Bitfrog here with yet another Dice post, but first I would like to extend my thanks to Eddie for delivering on their promise to bring us Christmas in July. Things are a little bit different now though. First I would like to thank BigE for passing on some incredible advice. I figured that by playing coy and being secretive that would somehow draw peoples curiosity, but that that simply isn't the case. At least not for me. "Create content beyond your channel." Took a while to absorb the message, but I get it now. "Do the opposite of what I am doing now." It's so obvious, and super easy to put into practice. No I am not rich. I am probably one of the poorest people in my VIP level. I thought for so long how amazing it would be to have an esteemed high roller as a mentor, and I have learned a great deal form these people second hand. Many of them are generous, humble and chill as fuck. Some are not. Meh. Rather than criticize I've decided to take my own advice do for others what I had wish someone had done for me. And yes you're probably saying right now "What could YOU possibly have to teach MEEE." I guess we'll see wont we. Enough about me and my epiphany. Lets get down to business. *****DETAILS ARE IMPORTANT SO MAKE SURE THE LANGUAGE IS CORRECT. DONT GUESS. BE SURE!***** Your starting bet should be roughly 0.1% of your bankroll and we can discuss details anytime. ------------------------------------------------------------- It really was Christmas yesterday. A wonderful gift and lots of human interactions. Noise, and merriment all around. Had it not been for the fact that I was invited somewhere and had extended my hand in friendship and expressed my enthusiasm for my work (with colorful storytelling and passion, which was met with a mostly positive reception, I was later belittled, embarrassed, and dismissed by the very person I had expected to have been the most receptive of my work. The response was not at all what I expected and after I spent the remainder of the evening drowning my anger and embarrassment with alcohol. I examined myself and realized that I am and have been just much of a miserable dick to others as this guy was to me. It was a good learning experience and I met some amazing people. So it was all worth, but fuck that prick all the same. (ok I'm done.) The last few weeks have been very interesting and circumstances be damned, I feel a glimmer of hope, for I feel that I am finally on the right path. The first steps have been taken and the road is long, but no I have some idea of where I am going. Who knows who I'll meet along the way. ------------------------------------------ I assure you, this may seem rudimentary, and that's the point. This barely scratches the surface. There is more to come. Much, much more.
javierfg Posted July 13, 2023 #2 Posted July 13, 2023 The strategies have no mathematical influence on the outcome of the bets. Changing the seed, the bet amount, etc. has (literally) no influence on the mathematical expectation of the game. This is not an opinion This is because: - each event is independent - they are not influenced by previous events (read Gambler's fallacy https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gambler's_fallacy ) - all events have house edge
oPartial Posted July 13, 2023 #3 Posted July 13, 2023 ^this. Stake analysts see these sorts of posts and laugh.
Burnitdafrog Posted July 13, 2023 Author #4 Posted July 13, 2023 I really like how everyone who criticizes me references the exact same piece of literature. Literally every time. Do you not understand that what you are saying to me is that you believe I am wrong, that my thoughts and ideas are incorrect, and that its not even your own opinion that has led you to this conclusion, but the opinion of a third party, with whom you so happen to agree. I suppose the Stake analysis's and I have something in common. We both have something to laugh at. The nice thing about being a writer is I get to have my own thoughts. Do my own work. Come to my own conclusions and decide for myself what is and what is not. The sad thing, is, I cant even tell you any of you to find some new material, because the only information you have comes from the same source. But hey, relax. my book will be out soon and I look forward to having this same discussion when it does. Just be sure to bring it. I wouldn't want you to forget the platitudes.
RizkiTamaa Posted July 13, 2023 #5 Posted July 13, 2023 1 hour ago, Burnitdafrog said: Bitfrog here with yet another Dice post, but first I would like to extend my thanks to Eddie for delivering on their promise to bring us Christmas in July. Things are a little bit different now though. First I would like to thank BigE for passing on some incredible advice. I figured that by playing coy and being secretive that would somehow draw peoples curiosity, but that that simply isn't the case. At least not for me. "Create content beyond your channel." Took a while to absorb the message, but I get it now. "Do the opposite of what I am doing now." It's so obvious, and super easy to put into practice. No I am not rich. I am probably one of the poorest people in my VIP level. I thought for so long how amazing it would be to have an esteemed high roller as a mentor, and I have learned a great deal form these people second hand. Many of them are generous, humble and chill as fuck. Some are not. Meh. Rather than criticize I've decided to take my own advice do for others what I had wish someone had done for me. And yes you're probably saying right now "What could YOU possibly have to teach MEEE." I guess we'll see wont we. Enough about me and my epiphany. Lets get down to business. *****DETAILS ARE IMPORTANT SO MAKE SURE THE LANGUAGE IS CORRECT. DONT GUESS. BE SURE!***** Your starting bet should be roughly 0.1% of your bankroll and we can discuss details anytime. ------------------------------------------------------------- It really was Christmas yesterday. A wonderful gift and lots of human interactions. Noise, and merriment all around. Had it not been for the fact that I was invited somewhere and had extended my hand in friendship and expressed my enthusiasm for my work (with colorful storytelling and passion, which was met with a mostly positive reception, I was later belittled, embarrassed, and dismissed by the very person I had expected to have been the most receptive of my work. The response was not at all what I expected and after I spent the remainder of the evening drowning my anger and embarrassment with alcohol. I examined myself and realized that I am and have been just much of a miserable dick to others as this guy was to me. It was a good learning experience and I met some amazing people. So it was all worth, but fuck that prick all the same. (ok I'm done.) The last few weeks have been very interesting and circumstances be damned, I feel a glimmer of hope, for I feel that I am finally on the right path. The first steps have been taken and the road is long, but no I have some idea of where I am going. Who knows who I'll meet along the way. ------------------------------------------ I assure you, this may seem rudimentary, and that's the point. This barely scratches the surface. There is more to come. Much, much more. What your rank mate? Is your wager strategy always work?
javierfg Posted July 13, 2023 #6 Posted July 13, 2023 54 minutes ago, Burnitdafrog said: I really like how everyone who criticizes me references the exact same piece of literature. Literally every time. Do you not understand that what you are saying to me is that you believe I am wrong, that my thoughts and ideas are incorrect, and that its not even your own opinion that has led you to this conclusion, but the opinion of a third party, with whom you so happen to agree. I suppose the Stake analysis's and I have something in common. We both have something to laugh at. The nice thing about being a writer is I get to have my own thoughts. Do my own work. Come to my own conclusions and decide for myself what is and what is not. The sad thing, is, I cant even tell you any of you to find some new material, because the only information you have comes from the same source. But hey, relax. my book will be out soon and I look forward to having this same discussion when it does. Just be sure to bring it. I wouldn't want you to forget the platitudes. I don't think anyone has criticized you... but it's good to know how to admit your mistake. Now you are young and ignorant, surely in a few years you will read this and you will realize Since the beginning of the game of chance, attempts have been made to find winning strategies, but none have been able to overcome the negative mathematical expectation of casino games. Already in the Middle Ages, attempts were made to find winning strategies for roulette. It never worked, only in cases of physical errors or weights/magnets/etc traps You can do a relatively easy simulation in Python trying millions or billions of strategies (including your own) with millions of bets each. No need to try one by one in your browser All will have the same result, this being solely dependent on the house edge
javierfg Posted July 13, 2023 #7 Posted July 13, 2023 "The strategies have no mathematical influence on the outcome of the bets." This statement is false. it should read The back of a dice looks something like this Explain how the strategy affects this code This code has a mathematical advantage in 100% of bets that are made the same as in stake according to their own documentation Quote package main import ( "fmt" "math/rand" "time" ) func main() { rand.Seed(time.Now().UnixNano()) var userNumber, amount int fmt.Print("Enter a number between 1 and 99: ") fmt.Scanln(&userNumber) fmt.Print("Enter an amount: ") fmt.Scanln(&amount) randomNumber := rand.Intn(99) + 1 fmt.Printf("Random number generated: %d\n", randomNumber) if userNumber == randomNumber { result := amount * 95 fmt.Printf("Congratulations! Your amount multiplied by 95 is: %d\n", result) } else { fmt.Println("Sorry, the numbers did not match. Your result is 0.") } }
Nostalgic Posted July 13, 2023 #8 Posted July 13, 2023 Tested this strat out of curiosity. Start Balance 10k satoshi, basebet 10 sats (0,1% as you mentioned). Took ~23k bets to bust. Managed to hit 1980x once. Impossible to hit 9900x with placing a bet on it here and there, the odds are very slim of that happening (which is the target of this strat i'm guessing?). The wager is also quite bad. Nice approach but same result as every other strat.
bly619 Posted July 13, 2023 #9 Posted July 13, 2023 People don't realize to let the shit cool down. (Myself Included) n switch off to different wager game then hop back on dice. Or change seed as extra measure (even though I personally am trying run seed into millions to see if I get a really good run of better results
Burnitdafrog Posted July 15, 2023 Author #11 Posted July 15, 2023 Like I said. I don’t need to defend my work. The results speak for themselves
Burnitdafrog Posted July 18, 2023 Author #12 Posted July 18, 2023 "One picture says one thousand words" This picture says. "
Dawn00 Posted July 22, 2023 #15 Posted July 22, 2023 Quite skeptical of this actually working tbh, wtv happened to u was just luck probably, but I’ll still give it a try
majali7891 Posted July 22, 2023 #16 Posted July 22, 2023 The biggest in your screenshots is around 110$ & your are bragging with that useless method you have. Its a lucky few sessions that's all, so don't make a big deal of it and enjoy your 100 bucks lol
Burnitdafrog Posted July 23, 2023 Author #18 Posted July 23, 2023 N On 7/22/2023 at 5:38 AM, majali7891 said: The biggest in your screenshots is around 110$ & your are bragging with that useless method you have. Its a lucky few sessions that's all, so don't make a big deal of it and enjoy your 100 bucks lol l. Fuck your lols.
Burnitdafrog Posted July 23, 2023 Author #20 Posted July 23, 2023 Oooh I get it. Dismissing the methods. You’re the competition aren’t you? Well I hope you enjoyed the money you clowns have made selling your inferior strategies. Have fun rolling 98% w/c. I look forward to all your complaints in the chat. XDi think I’m done putting advice on this forum. Lose big, Lose fast, And then lose hope. Creativity and nuance are wasted on this community. I’ve kept my best ideas off the forums and it was absolutely the right decision. The way some of you pricks act. I look forward to news of peril during your adventures.
jdjjdjdjdjdjd Posted July 23, 2023 #21 Posted July 23, 2023 7 minutes ago, Burnitdafrog said: Oooh I get it. Dismissing the methods. You’re the competition aren’t you? Well I hope you enjoyed the money you clowns have made selling your inferior strategies. Have fun rolling 98% w/c. I look forward to all your complaints in the chat. XDi think I’m done putting advice on this forum. Lose big, Lose fast, And then lose hope. Creativity and nuance are wasted on this community. I’ve kept my best ideas off the forums and it was absolutely the right decision. The way some of you pricks act. I look forward to news of peril during your adventures. If it works for you share it, but don't make any effort defending it i would say
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