fredzapper Posted September 6, 2023 #4 Posted September 6, 2023 Mathematically that is a terrible under EV bet by about 90%. Nice lucky hit but that is not a strategy to bet on lots of bad value bets. If you'd had Tiafoe on there who was 1.4, you would of lost. Best bet's are always wait for the match to start, then you can pick up a decent price and have opportunity to cash out. Best strategy is to wait for a good price on something that has good chance of winning. You could of waited for Tiafoe who was 1.4 pre game, to when he was 2.5 during game. Stick 100 on him then, then we went back all the way to 1.2 and still ended up losing. Picking winners is impossible long term. Picking a good price then selling your bet when the price moves in your favor (selling bet = cashing out) is how you do it if you want to be up in the green every month.
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