Lost to a 0.00354300% chance

[williamshennie9]

5 hours ago, DreamStage said:

Actually you are wrong on your chance did you know? 

By using https://www.rapidtables.com/calc/math/Exponent_Calculator.html you can calculate your final chances which as for example as you said if you have 15 red streaks in a 50% chance then: 0.5¹⁵ = 0.5×0.5×0.5×0.5×0.5×0.5×0.5×0.5×0.5×0.5×0.5×0.5×0.5×0.5×0.5 = 0.0030517578125%

Anyway i have lost so many red streaks i can not even remember them all, but mostly the ones with 21 red streaks where i gamble alot with such as 3x - 33% or 4x = 25%, depending on base amount of course.

 

lol, the point is that it is super unlikely to have that many losses in a row. @AGreenleaf was the chance 50% or 49.5%, because that could play a role in skewing the odds. I've also seen streaks of 20 losses in a row on 2x, so anything is possible.

[sdsdfbsfsd]

ouch  im so sorry for you loss hope you can recover them bets ,maybe try change seed more often every few bets:)

[ozcelik06]

Yesterday i got 6 red on 1.1x 

Losing chance is %0.0001

[rajamishra]

its a hard luck for you but there is some calculation ,if a 10000 max payout it means ratio calculate at basis of that.not in 100,so there are chances more than reds came on 50-50

here play both side may be red steak lesser . 

[joseph66]

thats too little, My friends lose 0.6 btc 47 lose streak in x4 .

[EthanHunz]

Anything can happen at gambling. I've seen 21 losses in a row of 50-50's

[DreamStage]

Dam it i kinda reach such chance as almost busted. Luckly i was prepared and didn't used all my balance

Most of the times it happens at Dice since it's a 1:1 direct chance roll. Other games are likely less to have such high chances.

[cryptonesiac]

In my simulator I got to 28 reds, in real betting it was 24 I think (20 to bust and then 4 more to see how long the losing streak was)...

[Menang]

My personally longest red streaks in 2x payout is 16 reds. But I heard someone experience more than 22 reds in 2x payout. Well this is gamble, every little chance is possible. Good luck to recovery

[DreamStage]

23 hours ago, cryptonesiac said:

In my simulator I got to 28 reds, in real betting it was 24 I think (20 to bust and then 4 more to see how long the losing streak was)...

Which simulator have you used? Have you also reached such high chances?

I probabily got more than 31 reds in a single streak. More or less 24 as you as well

[hydray]

For me, I lost 50$ with a lose streak of 14 (not on stake)

[yololife222]

once i was betting 25sats auto and got 250k btc balance got 16 or 17  reds in a row and busted all i was doing martingale so 25 sat base bett and on loose increas by 100% on win reset but it was on eddies first site ( orimedice )  

[hillowner45]

15 reds is not as rare as you think. If you had the balance for 20 reds in a row you would of busted as well. I know one guy who had 32 reds in a row in diamond poker and busted 4 bitcoin, so take this as a light warning not to do this again lol. If you decide to autobet in the future, make sure you do one on a higher payout and lower % on loss. It's more reliable from my experience even do in theory everything is just a variation of martingale lol.

[DCYuma]

It happen but  you just wish  your on the winning side.

[Basilaystake]

19 reds in the row to dice over 50.50 ! 4000XRP off...

[Shaniqua]

ok so i see what your saying... but how many games did you play is the key Question to be asked and factored into the satistic.. you can only truly say you lost to   that little chance 0.00345etc if that streak of reds happened from your very first roll ... make sense?

[8xFTW]

Omg, you guys got some horror stories up your sleeves 😨

[nuuuitsjdragon]

Seems like a constant loss then if we were to play longer, the chance of us losing is much higher as well. 

So all those strategies to compound profit etc. or make a certain % per day, do they actually work? 

[cryptonesiac]

On 6/30/2019 at 10:21 PM, DreamStage said:

Which simulator have you used? Have you also reached such high chances?

My self built simulator... If I think of a new strategy I test it in the simulator and let it simulate a month / year on bets to see if the strategy holds...

[nuuuitsjdragon]

1 minute ago, cryptonesiac said:

My self built simulator... If I think of a new strategy I test it in the simulator and let it simulate a month / year on bets to see if the strategy holds...

What has your research and trials on all your strategies concluded???

I'd like to know in general which are sure-fail strategies to avoid totally and also, if going for really high multipliers and higher variance/risk in games a better option than playing for low?

All this is assuming that I'm going to play for awhile though as I understand for a short-run, low-variances games would generally be better.

[cryptonesiac]

29 minutes ago, nuuuitsjdragon said:

What has your research and trials on all your strategies concluded???

I'd like to know in general which are sure-fail strategies to avoid totally and also, if going for really high multipliers and higher variance/risk in games a better option than playing for low?

All this is assuming that I'm going to play for awhile though as I understand for a short-run, low-variances games would generally be better.

I have tested over a hundred different strategies and my conclusion is that all of them are not profitable on the long term... I'd say that very low multipliers are the fastest strategy to bust, but maybe it's because your base bet has to be high (for example with a 1.01 multiplier, you have to bet 100 units to gain 1 unit)

high multipliers work better, but the profit is minimal. It takes a real long time before you double your original balance (and in the end the odds might be the same as just x2 all-in).

There's still a variety of strategies I want to test, but it has more to do with a dynamic strategy of the amount of profit and the risk to double that profit. If you have any suggestions on what to test, send me a message and I'll see if I already tested and/or if it's worth testing

[Ali saher]

Ohh very strange on 2x payout 15 red a row this is very bad luck I think this is your mistake because if you see 4,5 red come in a row you need to change your strategy or you need to give a break to game if you say you play with 10x payout or big payout then this is possible but on 2x this strange for me yes 1 think possible this if you change your bit amounts mean if you 1st bit 10k satoshi scanned 40k 3rd 120k satoshi then possible 15 red a row come because this time game system automatically read your strategy and you lose long bits but if you not change bit amounts then come 15 red a row on 2x payout this is very bad luck I use online gambling 7,8 months but max I see 6,7 red a row on 2x payout

[dhiarahmouni]

Yep that happens feels bad man, it once happend to me but just 11 times in a row to a bust i ranged so much but i lucky me am still tring with a kind of a low balance so u can say i didnt lose that much and  in the end i said as it have probability i always have to keep it in mind.

[BLXN]

Ah.. too many streaks to count. lo. I had 14 reds on 2x the other day- a lot of greens on one side as well. The apparent bias for north/south of 50 is peculiar, and it drives me nuts. Reds get really crazy after 5x, so i tend to only play those short term between lower odds.

[Shaniqua]

On 7/31/2019 at 12:08 AM, hydray said:

For me, I lost 50$ with a lose streak of 14 (not on stake)

how much did you come up though before you ended up busting your by getting that steak of 14 red ? did you at least double your balanxce b4 busting?