2pinks Posted August 21, 2020 #1 Posted August 21, 2020 In total I analyzed 530857 of Limbo results with the same seed, these are some facts about them: First of all, did I get a million times multiplier? No, not even close to that. Did I get a 100000+ times multiplier? Yes, 2 of them, but it took a long time. The first one, 104461.91094339623 multiplier took 511199 bets, the second one 205054.8622222222 multiplier took 522395 bets. Did I find some magic numbers that would have been profitable if I only bet on them? No, every day I was checking performance of all the numbers, and every day less of them became profitable and finally somewhere between 450 and 500 thousand bets all the numbers became unprofitable. I had some hope in multipliers like 2000x, 5000x, because they were profitable for a long time, but eventually they became unprofitable as well. Top 100 multipliers that I got: 205054.8622222222 104461.91094339623 46395.09452513966 45134.358260869565 41627.67879699248 41112.48475247525 32503.80399217221 29088.342977232925 29037.48923076923 27453.62618181818 27184.03247135843 27007.22575609756 25631.857777777775 25051.95149321267 24425.652705882352 22354.567752355317 21912.195039577837 21294.15876923077 18312.506990077178 17502.048303477342 17035.327015384617 17017.872786885247 16777.216 15058.425965548504 14923.13013477089 14803.42588235294 14544.171488616463 14147.737512776832 14111.677009345794 13957.515831932773 13192.568578236695 13182.098285714286 12469.552432432432 12185.945590608952 11983.725714285714 11940.64977713875 11897.88240687679 11754.737324840764 11314.335040871934 10884.30133682831 10674.44976863753 10329.256119402984 9945.774754491018 9874.817978596908 9735.899085580304 9474.868134626355 8905.868010723862 8905.868010723862 8863.097033084312 8816.052993630574 8535.171551901336 8530.78779661017 8371.695483870968 8325.535759398495 8234.726742687159 7985.309538461539 7958.526037374221 7823.572227979274 7696.683892493049 7536.045299455535 7414.930285714286 7291.239613696224 7246.703246073299 6996.395888795282 6993.450037894737 6981.691399747793 6969.972236676458 6891.885410788382 6880.465550952775 6567.593451957296 6546.883657863618 6315.377885931559 6270.080724801812 6140.274987060998 6133.472614475628 6113.155627530365 5938.306700035752 5844.280028149191 5836.066001405481 5825.830880392844 5733.325453917846 5697.922415094339 5649.470693877551 5575.509848942598 5479.856100296932 5385.682178988327 5361.344041316978 5242.88 5118.472677966101 5098.04906077348 5060.76899451554 5014.928695652174 4981.836784643071 4968.424720311098 4963.970065750149 4955.084677804296 4921.316693333333 4919.858957345972 4914.0366390532545 4776.946747195858 Some statistics: 10000+ multipliers: 42 1000+ multipliers: 491 100+ multipliers: 5238 10+ multipliers: 52843 Finally, I put all of my limbo results in one file, sorted from highest to lowers multipliers: https://gofile.io/d/cQTfBJ You all can also check out this file and do some analysis of your own or post your own results files here, unfortunately stake.com changed their bets files recently and there are no more data on Limbo bets like what multiplier you got, only if your multiplier was a win or a loss. Hoping that this is just a temporary thing that will get fixed soon, otherwise content like this will never get published by anyone else again.
wowa24 Posted August 21, 2020 #2 Posted August 21, 2020 Thank you for this work, I was interested in reading
nuuuitsjdragon Posted August 21, 2020 #7 Posted August 21, 2020 Sick analysis, thank you for taking the time to post this. On the flip side though, it's like a 'reality staring you in the face" of moment, don't know how to feel about that, lol.
Moderator maverick528 Posted August 22, 2020 Moderator #8 Posted August 22, 2020 I always love this kind of statistical analysis, cause by studying them carefully you may find a decent strat ..... Thanks for the hard work.
Moderator mistaker Posted August 22, 2020 Moderator #11 Posted August 22, 2020 Well, it's very cool. It show very clear that you can easy be in profit on limbo in long term and true about house edge (1% for sure). 21 hours ago, 2pinks said: 10000+ multipliers: 42 1000+ multipliers: 491 100+ multipliers: 5238 10+ multipliers: 52843 Ofcourse all depends of seeds. If it can be done for 100 diffrent seed it will be very cool. I know 50 mln bets is impossible to do, but i'm sure sone can make tool for that. For Example we changing seed, and checkin unhashed seed, and bot easy can generate 500 000 calculation. If bot do it 100 times, will be possible to create cool strat for limbo. Back to your work @2pinks it show we can be in profit by stoping rolls in some moment. Really great work. Gratz bro
harihrn Posted August 22, 2020 #12 Posted August 22, 2020 Mistaker, I have already done a tool which does the exact same thing which you have mentioned. With that tool i have analyzed around 30 seeds, and each seed with 1 Million bets. Conclusion is that there is no single multiplier (small or huge) which will give you profit in long run. Eventually you will loose house edge in all the multipliers. Random is always random. I have attached a sample analysis, 9 different seeds with 100k rolls each
Mage093 Posted August 22, 2020 #13 Posted August 22, 2020 Great job and amazing work indeed. Love much limbo
zzaharris Posted August 22, 2020 #17 Posted August 22, 2020 Yeah, I loved limbo when I first started playing at stake. it was my goto game for a couple months, but the longer I played, the less I won; I didn't do any analysis on it of anything, but it was pretty clear, in my opinion. But thank you you for this and confirming my previous suspicions! 😁 2 hours ago, harihrn said: Mistaker, I have already done a tool which does the exact same thing which you have mentioned. With that tool i have analyzed around 30 seeds, and each seed with 1 Million bets. Conclusion is that there is no single multiplier (small or huge) which will give you profit in long run. Eventually you will loose house edge in all the multipliers. Random is always random. I have attached a sample analysis, 9 different seeds with 100k rolls each Thank you as well! you guys rock for providing this analysis! 12 minutes ago, nsinalis11 said: with what you bet 1 sat? it could have even been 0 sats... I could be mistaken, but I don't believe the odds on house games increase by placing higher wagers
2pinks Posted August 22, 2020 Author #18 Posted August 22, 2020 10 minutes ago, nsinalis11 said: with what you bet 1 sat? I bet with 0.00000001 of Doge. This was not for profit just experimenting + I left my computer for hours without checking on it so I din't want to risk anything.
sababalat Posted August 31, 2020 #19 Posted August 31, 2020 so difficult to race this limbo, im just only hit 5k in ever
RoyalSteeze Posted August 31, 2020 #20 Posted August 31, 2020 thank you for sharing your breakdown, this was an awesome read and should help to provide a more in-depth insight into the game we all love so much
KC05 Posted September 16, 2020 #21 Posted September 16, 2020 Give a strategy please! I love playing limbo! But sometimes im being impatient. Please give me advice about the pattern to snipe high payout! Thanks!
Dreamlover Posted September 26, 2020 #22 Posted September 26, 2020 On 8/21/2020 at 2:55 PM, 2pinks said: In total I analyzed 530857 of Limbo results with the same seed, these are some facts about them: First of all, did I get a million times multiplier? No, not even close to that. Did I get a 100000+ times multiplier? Yes, 2 of them, but it took a long time. The first one, 104461.91094339623 multiplier took 511199 bets, the second one 205054.8622222222 multiplier took 522395 bets. Did I find some magic numbers that would have been profitable if I only bet on them? No, every day I was checking performance of all the numbers, and every day less of them became profitable and finally somewhere between 450 and 500 thousand bets all the numbers became unprofitable. I had some hope in multipliers like 2000x, 5000x, because they were profitable for a long time, but eventually they became unprofitable as well. Top 100 multipliers that I got: 205054.8622222222 104461.91094339623 46395.09452513966 45134.358260869565 41627.67879699248 41112.48475247525 32503.80399217221 29088.342977232925 29037.48923076923 27453.62618181818 27184.03247135843 27007.22575609756 25631.857777777775 25051.95149321267 24425.652705882352 22354.567752355317 21912.195039577837 21294.15876923077 18312.506990077178 17502.048303477342 17035.327015384617 17017.872786885247 16777.216 15058.425965548504 14923.13013477089 14803.42588235294 14544.171488616463 14147.737512776832 14111.677009345794 13957.515831932773 13192.568578236695 13182.098285714286 12469.552432432432 12185.945590608952 11983.725714285714 11940.64977713875 11897.88240687679 11754.737324840764 11314.335040871934 10884.30133682831 10674.44976863753 10329.256119402984 9945.774754491018 9874.817978596908 9735.899085580304 9474.868134626355 8905.868010723862 8905.868010723862 8863.097033084312 8816.052993630574 8535.171551901336 8530.78779661017 8371.695483870968 8325.535759398495 8234.726742687159 7985.309538461539 7958.526037374221 7823.572227979274 7696.683892493049 7536.045299455535 7414.930285714286 7291.239613696224 7246.703246073299 6996.395888795282 6993.450037894737 6981.691399747793 6969.972236676458 6891.885410788382 6880.465550952775 6567.593451957296 6546.883657863618 6315.377885931559 6270.080724801812 6140.274987060998 6133.472614475628 6113.155627530365 5938.306700035752 5844.280028149191 5836.066001405481 5825.830880392844 5733.325453917846 5697.922415094339 5649.470693877551 5575.509848942598 5479.856100296932 5385.682178988327 5361.344041316978 5242.88 5118.472677966101 5098.04906077348 5060.76899451554 5014.928695652174 4981.836784643071 4968.424720311098 4963.970065750149 4955.084677804296 4921.316693333333 4919.858957345972 4914.0366390532545 4776.946747195858 Some statistics: 10000+ multipliers: 42 1000+ multipliers: 491 100+ multipliers: 5238 10+ multipliers: 52843 Finally, I put all of my limbo results in one file, sorted from highest to lowers multipliers: https://gofile.io/d/cQTfBJ You all can also check out this file and do some analysis of your own or post your own results files here, unfortunately stake.com changed their bets files recently and there are no more data on Limbo bets like what multiplier you got, only if your multiplier was a win or a loss. Hoping that this is just a temporary thing that will get fixed soon, otherwise content like this will never get published by anyone else again. Really helpfull
wrecky Posted October 11, 2020 #24 Posted October 11, 2020 i cant even hit 1000x lol, but thank you for sharing this one! :)
HexanovaH Posted November 14, 2020 #25 Posted November 14, 2020 Seems like the more longuer you stay to hit a proper multiplier, the more chances you get to hit
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