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Dice is rigged


Justinsymbolic
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  • 1 month later...

Yep
Have avoided dice for a while but came back and once again seems same old rubbish

Was doing a low level delayed martingale on 40% chance

Bet nothing for first 6 losses

then only bet 0.00000010 ETH (nowhere even near a USD cent)

double bet every loss

Total bank roll $150

 

25 losses in a row, wiped out $87, and not enough to double bet for 26th go

The likihood of 25 losses in a row is 0.00065%..., so around 1 in 200,000 chance of happening

didn't even hit 4,000 dice rolls for it to happen.

 

No matter what I do, it always seems to do the statistically impossible.
I'll give this same strat a run again on the weekend and lets see if I get anywhere near 200,000 rolls. Considering it hit in 4,000 I would expect to see a run of near 400,000 without it occuring, unlikely.

 

Tried again with a smaller balance

1,418 rolls

ends with a 17th in a row failing, on a 40% chance of winning

Probability of this happening is 0.014%, meaning 140 times in a million, yet I've managed it in under 1,500 rolls AND that's not counting my earlier attempt where it failed 25 times in a row (which includes a 17 in a row). This just is not statisically right.


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  • 4 weeks later...

I would say that Dice is misunderstood as I have spent a considerable amount of time learning the game. I'm not ashamed to admit that it has become a huge part of my life. I've had a few people tell me I don't know what I'm talking about when it comes to Dice, but that's just silly. 

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On 12/11/2023 at 5:57 PM, kavpau said:

Yep
Have avoided dice for a while but came back and once again seems same old rubbish

Was doing a low level delayed martingale on 40% chance

Bet nothing for first 6 losses

then only bet 0.00000010 ETH (nowhere even near a USD cent)

double bet every loss

Total bank roll $150

 

25 losses in a row, wiped out $87, and not enough to double bet for 26th go

The likihood of 25 losses in a row is 0.00065%..., so around 1 in 200,000 chance of happening

didn't even hit 4,000 dice rolls for it to happen.

 

No matter what I do, it always seems to do the statistically impossible.
I'll give this same strat a run again on the weekend and lets see if I get anywhere near 200,000 rolls. Considering it hit in 4,000 I would expect to see a run of near 400,000 without it occuring, unlikely.

 

Tried again with a smaller balance

1,418 rolls

ends with a 17th in a row failing, on a 40% chance of winning

Probability of this happening is 0.014%, meaning 140 times in a million, yet I've managed it in under 1,500 rolls AND that's not counting my earlier attempt where it failed 25 times in a row (which includes a 17 in a row). This just is not statisically right.


image.png.02885669e33ff3c2df1365fbd2643989.png

image.thumb.png.77320366a8e1801ee8874aa1547d1a5e.png

if u run dice so long ofc the 24 losing streak its gonna come , u can have even a 30 losing streak on 1.2x if u run it for weeks or months

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On 1/13/2024 at 5:17 PM, T1TO said:

if u run dice so long ofc the 24 losing streak its gonna come , u can have even a 30 losing streak on 1.2x if u run it for weeks or months

And I said in my post the odds of it happening.

But it happened twice in under 6,000 rolls which is statistically very unlikely.

 

I wouldn't say running dice for 1,500 rolls is 'long' at all. Weeks or months I would expect the likelihood to be around the statical model, but my experiences have been nowhere near. After a few thousand rolls you get a highly unlikely 17-25 misses in a row, whereas that should be happening nearer to 7-15,000 not 1,500

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It may feel that way. I have heard bet size, timing, and all other factors other than nonce, seed, and hash are irrelevant to the outcome. Like mentioned, the only things that matter and determine your win is the stake original you are playing, nonce, seed phrase, and server seed (hashed). 

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